Top Quartile Stocks — performance

What the four-filter stock screen would have returned, rebalanced monthly vs SPY

Updated July 24, 2026

The home page’s Top Quartileis the intersection of the four independent scores on every stock’s card: names sitting in the top 25% of the universe on Market Beat (excess return vs SPY), Rank Persistence (how consistently they hold their cross-sectional rank week over week), Business Growth(revenue, margin and cash-flow momentum) and Money Flow(buying vs selling pressure) — all at once. It’s a demanding screen, so the basket is usually small.

This page asks the obvious next question: if you had actually held that basket — equal-weighted, refreshed at each monthly snapshot — how would it have done? Below, every month’s basket return is plotted against SPY over the same window, and the two are compounded into a cumulative curve.

This month’s basket

Locked July 24, 2026 · 7 names · equal-weight · tracked daily through September 4, 2026. Updates when the next month begins.

Basket · MTD
+8.8%
SPY · MTD
+1.1%
Excess
+7.8 pp
Up / down
7 / 0
Leader · DELL
+23.4%
Laggard · WDC
+3.8%
Day by day · basket vs SPY
The 7picks · lock-in scores & month-to-date
StockPerformPersistProfitFlowMTD
DELLDell Technologies Inc.99878396+23.4%
SNDKSandisk Corporation1001008081+13.2%
ARMArm Holdings plc American Depositary Shares92877690+7.3%
MRVLMarvell Technology, Inc.98918598+6.3%
STXSeagate Technology Holdings plc99999999+4.0%
AMDAdvanced Micro Devices, Inc.99989581+3.9%
WDCWestern Digital Corporation1001009190+3.8%

The 3-year track record

Every month of the last 3 years — equal-weight, rebalanced each anchor, against SPY.

THE SCREEN · top 25% (percentile ≥ 75) on Market Beat · Trend Persistence · Money Flow · Business Growth · equal-weight · rebalanced each anchor · vs SPY.

Picks · 39 mo
+312.0%
SPY · same
+61.7%
Excess (cum)
+250 pp
Avg / month
+4.19%
Win rate vs SPY
72%
Avg basket
6

Cumulative growth — $1 in the basket vs SPY

PicksSPY

Monthly returns — basket vs SPY

PicksSPY

What this shows

Over the last three years the screen has comfortably out-earned the index — but it earns it the hard way. The edge is concentrated in a handful of explosive months and given partly back in sharp drawdowns; this is a momentum-and-quality basket, so it amplifies the market in both directions. The win rate (months it beats SPY) sits around three-in-five, not nine-in-ten.

The honest read: the screen has been a strong signal for where leadership is concentrated, not a smooth ride. Anyone treating it as a live strategy would feel the volatility and pay the turnover.

Read the fine print
  • Not investment advice by any means — this is just a computation from historical data, shown to illustrate how the screen would have behaved. The future is not obligated to rhyme.
  • Gross of costs. No commissions, spreads, or taxes. The basket turns over heavily each month (~6 names swapped), so real-world friction would meaningfully dent these figures.
  • Last 3 years only. A short, deliberate window using point-in-time data, but not completely free of survivorship bias.
  • Rebalanced at ~monthly anchors (≈28-day spacing, not calendar month-ends), holding from one anchor to the next; a month with no qualifying names sits in cash. Returns use split-adjusted closes; a name that delists mid-window is marked at its last trade.

Every ticker here links to its live page — peer-relative metrics, a percentile fingerprint, and screeners across the whole S&P 500.

Stox →

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