Earnings Surprises: Q3 2025

The season's beats and misses, frozen for the record

Updated August 30, 2026 · final

This is the closed book on the Q3 2025 reporting season — every S&P 500 earnings report filed between July 1, 2025 and September 30, 2025 (for most companies, the prior fiscal quarter’s results). Of 498 reports, 404 beat the analyst consensus and 86 missed, putting the beat rate at 81% — the usual tell that estimates are managed down into the print.

Because this page is final, the price columns use fixed windows rather than a running “since report”: the day-1 move (what the market said first) and the 21-session drift (whether it kept saying it). This season, the median big beat (+10% or more) moved +0.1% on day one and sat +3.1% a month later, while the median big miss managed −0.8% on the day — the post-earnings drift pattern in action.

Biggest beats

#StockEPS surpriseDay-1 move1-month drift
1DLRDigital RealtyJul 24+618%+0.4%−8.6%
Real Estate — beat estimates by +618% on Jul 24; the stock moved +0.4% the first session and was −8.6% a month on.
2SNDKSandiskAug 14+522%−0.7%+83.2%
Information Technology — beat estimates by +522% on Aug 14; the stock moved −0.7% the first session and was +83.2% a month on.
3WBDWarner Bros. DiscoveryAug 7+363%−7.3%−5.3%
Communication Services — beat estimates by +363% on Aug 7; the stock moved −7.3% the first session and was −5.3% a month on.
4COINCoinbaseJul 31+332%+0.1%−18.3%
Financials — beat estimates by +332% on Jul 31; the stock moved +0.1% the first session and was −18.3% a month on.
5SWKStanley Black & DeckerJul 29+135%−7.2%+1.7%
Industrials — beat estimates by +135% on Jul 29; the stock moved −7.2% the first session and was +1.7% a month on.
6ESSEssex Property TrustJul 29+132%+2.7%−6.5%
Real Estate — beat estimates by +132% on Jul 29; the stock moved +2.7% the first session and was −6.5% a month on.
7EAElectronic ArtsJul 29+126%−2.8%+13.3%
Communication Services — beat estimates by +126% on Jul 29; the stock moved −2.8% the first session and was +13.3% a month on.
8CPTCamden Property TrustJul 31+121%−2.6%−1.2%
Real Estate — beat estimates by +121% on Jul 31; the stock moved −2.6% the first session and was −1.2% a month on.
9TTWOTake-Two InteractiveAug 7+116%−0.3%+5.5%
Communication Services — beat estimates by +116% on Aug 7; the stock moved −0.3% the first session and was +5.5% a month on.
10ALBAlbemarle CorporationJul 30+113%−3.8%+22.5%
Materials — beat estimates by +113% on Jul 30; the stock moved −3.8% the first session and was +22.5% a month on.
11FRTFederal Realty Investment TrustAug 6+108%−0.2%+8.1%
Real Estate — beat estimates by +108% on Aug 6; the stock moved −0.2% the first session and was +8.1% a month on.
12APAAPA CorporationAug 6+93%−2.9%+26.1%
Energy — beat estimates by +93% on Aug 6; the stock moved −2.9% the first session and was +26.1% a month on.
13DLTRDollar TreeSep 3+85%−8.4%−18.9%
Consumer Staples — beat estimates by +85% on Sep 3; the stock moved −8.4% the first session and was −18.9% a month on.
14ALLAllstateJul 30+83%−0.8%+5.1%
Financials — beat estimates by +83% on Jul 30; the stock moved −0.8% the first session and was +5.1% a month on.
15NKENike, Inc.Sep 30+80%+0.3%−3.0%
Consumer Discretionary — beat estimates by +80% on Sep 30; the stock moved +0.3% the first session and was −3.0% a month on.

Biggest misses

#StockEPS surpriseDay-1 move1-month drift
1CNCCentene CorporationJul 25−243%+6.1%+9.9%
Health Care — missed estimates by −243% on Jul 25; the stock moved +6.1% the first session and was +9.9% a month on.
2AREAlexandria Real Estate EquitiesJul 21−208%+0.1%−1.2%
Real Estate — missed estimates by −208% on Jul 21; the stock moved +0.1% the first session and was −1.2% a month on.
3DOWDow Inc.Jul 24−142%−17.5%−22.0%
Materials — missed estimates by −142% on Jul 24; the stock moved −17.5% the first session and was −22.0% a month on.
4VTRVentasJul 30−82%−0.5%+1.6%
Real Estate — missed estimates by −82% on Jul 30; the stock moved −0.5% the first session and was +1.6% a month on.
5LMTLockheed MartinJul 22−78%−10.8%−4.2%
Industrials — missed estimates by −78% on Jul 22; the stock moved −10.8% the first session and was −4.2% a month on.
6LYVLive Nation EntertainmentAug 7−60%−0.7%+9.5%
Communication Services — missed estimates by −60% on Aug 7; the stock moved −0.7% the first session and was +9.5% a month on.
7AMTAmerican TowerJul 29−53%−4.2%−7.5%
Real Estate — missed estimates by −53% on Jul 29; the stock moved −4.2% the first session and was −7.5% a month on.
8INVHInvitation HomesJul 30−52%−1.9%−2.7%
Real Estate — missed estimates by −52% on Jul 30; the stock moved −1.9% the first session and was −2.7% a month on.
9IPInternational PaperJul 31−49%−12.8%−8.7%
Materials — missed estimates by −49% on Jul 31; the stock moved −12.8% the first session and was −8.7% a month on.
10ORealty IncomeAug 4−45%+1.6%+2.1%
Real Estate — missed estimates by −45% on Aug 4; the stock moved +1.6% the first session and was +2.1% a month on.
11SBACSBA CommunicationsAug 4−33%+0.8%−11.6%
Real Estate — missed estimates by −33% on Aug 4; the stock moved +0.8% the first session and was −11.6% a month on.
12PSAPublic StorageJul 30−31%−1.3%−0.5%
Real Estate — missed estimates by −31% on Jul 30; the stock moved −1.3% the first session and was −0.5% a month on.
13CNPCenterPoint EnergyJul 24−24%+1.9%+2.4%
Utilities — missed estimates by −24% on Jul 24; the stock moved +1.9% the first session and was +2.4% a month on.
14SWSmurfit WestrockJul 30−24%−1.7%−5.3%
Materials — missed estimates by −24% on Jul 30; the stock moved −1.7% the first session and was −5.3% a month on.
15MOSMosaic Company (The)Aug 5−24%+0.5%−8.0%
Materials — missed estimates by −24% on Aug 5; the stock moved +0.5% the first session and was −8.0% a month on.

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